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Authors

  • Thomas Bernauer

    Climate change and international water conflict in Central Asia

    Year: 2012

    Collections:

    Topics: Water, Climate, NEXUS, Hydropolitics

    Authors: Thomas Bernauer, Tobias Siegfried

    Countries: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan

    Source: Journal of Peace Research

    The authors engage in a critical assessment of the neo-malthusian claim that climatic changes can be an important source of international tensions, in the extreme even militarized interstate disputes.


    Compliance and Performance in International Water Agreements: The Case of the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin

    Year: 2008

    Collections: Books

    Topics: Water, Sustainable Development, IWRM, Water diplomacy, Transboundary Water Resources, Water Security, Transboundary cooperation, Hydropolitics

    Authors: Thomas Bernauer, Tobias Siegfried

    Countries:

    Source:

    This book chapter examines the compliance and actual performance of an international water agreement in the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin in Central Asia. The authors analyze the 1998 agreement, which was designed to regulate the operation of the Toktogul Reservoir by balancing Kyrgyzstan’s need for winter hydropower production with Uzbekistan’s and Kazakhstan’s need for summer irrigation water. The main argument of the article is that formal compliance with an agreement does not necessarily mean that the agreement is effective in solving the real water allocation problem. Using the policy performance metric (PER), the authors show that although compliance with the agreement was relatively high, its actual performance was low and highly variable. The article concludes that the existing water management system in the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin requires urgent institutional reform.



  • Tillakarim T.

    HBV-modeling of the Ile Alatau mountain river flow

    Year: 2024

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Water

    Authors: Tillakarim T., Serikbay N., Satmurzayev A., Sairov S.

    Countries: Kazakhstan

    Source: water-ca.org

    The research aimed to evaluate the possibility of applying the HBV model for assessing the flow of the Ile Alatau Mountain Range rivers. The main part of the corresponding water resources forms on the northern slopes of the Ile Alatau making them a significant water balance and water supply factor for the major cities of Almaty, Kaskelen, Talgar, and Yesik.



  • Tleppayev A.

    Climate change, co2 emission, and economic development: evidence from Kazakhstan

    Year: 2023

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Climate

    Authors: Tleppayev A., Zeinolla S.

    Countries:

    Source: Central Asian Journal of Sustainability and Climate Research

    This study aims to identify the relationship between CO2 emissions and economic growth to assess the influence on climate change. Design: The algorithm was chosen for research provision: statistical and comparative analysis, correlation, and regression analysis. The data for 1999-2020 was obtained from the World Bank and the Bureau of National Statistics. Results: After looking at the conditions and factors that affect Kazakhstan’s energy system, we believe it is essential to study how different factors affect economic growth, with a focus on environmental change. The results of modeling with regression models back this up. The model demonstrated that energy consumption has the most significant influence on CO2 emissions; however, in the GDP model, all factors, such as urbanization, energy consumption, and energy pricing, had an equal impact.



  • Tobias Siegfried

    Water Tales from Turkistan: Challenges and Opportunities for the Badam-Sayram Water System under a Changing Climate

    Year: 2024

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Water, Climate

    Authors: Aidar Zhumabaev, Hannah Schwedhelm, Beatrice Marti, Silvan Ragettli, Tobias Siegfried

    Countries: Kazakhstan

    Source: https://water-ca.org

    The Badam River, a tributary to the Arys River located in the Syr Darya basin, is a crucial natural resource for ecological, social, and economic activities in the semi-arid region of southern Kazakhstan. The river basin is heavily influenced by manmade water infrastructure and faces water scarcity, particularly during summer, highlighting the importance of understanding its hydrological processes for effective water resource management. In this study, a semi-distributed conceptual hydrological model of the Badam River was implemented using the RS MINERVE hydrological software to evaluate the impacts of climate change on hydrology and to test the resilience of the water system. Connected HBV models were implemented for each of the hydrological response units that were defined as altitudinal zones. The hydrological model was calibrated using daily time steps between 1979 and 2011, and the resulting flow exceedance curves and hydrographs were used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the basin, using CMIP6 precipitation and temperature scenarios. Future climate scenarios for the 2054 – 2064 period demonstrate that the peak discharge will be shifted to spring/late spring compared to the current early summer with no significant decrease in average discharge per day of the year. The insights gained from this hydrological-hydraulic model can be used to effectively manage the water system and inform future hydropower design decisions and serve as a blueprint for similar studies in the region and elsewhere.



  • Tobias Siegfried

    Climate change and international water conflict in Central Asia

    Year: 2012

    Collections:

    Topics: Water, Climate, NEXUS, Hydropolitics

    Authors: Thomas Bernauer, Tobias Siegfried

    Countries: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan

    Source: Journal of Peace Research

    The authors engage in a critical assessment of the neo-malthusian claim that climatic changes can be an important source of international tensions, in the extreme even militarized interstate disputes.


    Compliance and Performance in International Water Agreements: The Case of the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin

    Year: 2008

    Collections: Books

    Topics: Water, Sustainable Development, IWRM, Water diplomacy, Transboundary Water Resources, Water Security, Transboundary cooperation, Hydropolitics

    Authors: Thomas Bernauer, Tobias Siegfried

    Countries:

    Source:

    This book chapter examines the compliance and actual performance of an international water agreement in the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin in Central Asia. The authors analyze the 1998 agreement, which was designed to regulate the operation of the Toktogul Reservoir by balancing Kyrgyzstan’s need for winter hydropower production with Uzbekistan’s and Kazakhstan’s need for summer irrigation water. The main argument of the article is that formal compliance with an agreement does not necessarily mean that the agreement is effective in solving the real water allocation problem. Using the policy performance metric (PER), the authors show that although compliance with the agreement was relatively high, its actual performance was low and highly variable. The article concludes that the existing water management system in the Naryn/Syr Darya Basin requires urgent institutional reform.



  • Tomperi J.

    Assessing water quality in a distribution network based on hydraulic conditions

    Year: 2024

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Water

    Authors: Tomperi J.

    Countries: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan

    Source: https://water-ca.org/

    Abnormalities in hydraulic conditions inside a water distribution network are strongly related to the deterioration of drinking water quality.



  • Touraj Nasrabadi

    Transboundary Water Resources Conflict Analysis Using Graph Model for Conflict Resolution: A Case Study—Harirud River

    Year: 2021

    Collections: Research Paper

    Topics: Water, Water law, Water Security, Transboundary cooperation, Hydropolitics

    Authors: Abdulsalam Amini, Hamidreza Jafari, Bahram Malekmohammadi, Touraj Nasrabadi

    Countries: Iran Turkmenistan, Afghanistan,

    Source: Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

    The present paper aims to analyze, using the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR), a game theory model, the conflict between the three countries regarding the utilization of the water resources of the border river, Harirud. To this purpose, first, the current state of the conflict was investigated.



  • Tristam Barrett

    Adapting Agricultural Water Use to Climate Change in a Post-Soviet Context: Challenges and Opportunities in Southeast Kazakhstan

    Year: 2017

    Collections:

    Topics: Climate, Irrigation, IWRM, Water governance

    Authors: Tristam Barrett, Giuseppe Feola, Marina Khusnitdinova, Viktoria Krylova

    Countries: Kazakhstan

    Source: Human Ecology

    The convergence of climate change and post-Soviet socio-economic and institutional transformations has been underexplored so far, as have the consequences of such convergence on crop agriculture in Central Asia. This paper provides a place-based analysis of constraints and opportunities for adaptation to climate change, with a specific focus on water use, in two districts in southeast Kazakhstan.



  • Tsutsumi Jun-ichiro Giorgos

    Intra-seasonal Variation of Rainfall and Climate Characteristics in Kabul River Basin

    Year: 2017

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Water, Climate

    Authors: Klove B., Shokory Jamal Abdul Naser, Tsutsumi Jun-ichiro Giorgos, Yamada Hiroyuki

    Countries: Afghanistan

    Source: Central Asian Journal of Water Research



  • Tulemisova G.

    Ecological monitoring of the water bodies of the Ural-Caspian basin

    Year: 2021

    Collections: Scientific Publications

    Topics: Water, IWRM

    Authors: Tulemisova G., Amangosova A., Abdinov R., Kabdrakhimov G., Dzhanzakova B.

    Countries: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan

    Source: Central Asian Journal of Water Research



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